Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday, there is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.
Brighton v. Wolves
Location: Amex Stadium, Brighton
Wolves come into this match as slight favorites. This match expected is to be around 3 goals, and although Wolves are the favorite on paper — there’s relatively little confidence in any particular outcome.
Brighton come into this game on a 2-match win streak that has shown their best form all season. They currently reside in 11th-place and have actually scored more goals, but have conceded several more as well. The seagulls are averaging 1.1 goals scored/game and are giving up 1.4 conceded/game, however, at home they jump to 1.75 goals scored/game and 1.5 conceded/game.
Wolves come in to this match having won 4 of their last six matches which has moved them up into the top-half of the table and into 9th position. Wolves have only lost one of the last 6 to high-flying Watford and have only lost one other match all season (Leicester). Wolves are averaging 1 goal scored/game while conceding 0.9 goals/game — however, on the road, the goals scored drops to 0.75 goals scored/game and 0.75 goals conceded.
Southampton v. Newcastle
Location: St Mary’s Stadium, Southampton
Southampton are favorites at home against Newcastle. This match is also expected to have around 3 goals, though in this case two are expected to be scored by Southampton.
Southampton is only 4 points ahead of Newcastle, but for now that has them in safety (at 16th). Southampton is averaging 0.7 goals scored/game while averaging 1.75 allowed/game, at home they are allowing 1.75 goals allowed/game while only providing a slight increase on goals scored to 0.75 goals scored/game.
Newcastle is bottom of the league having 0 wins out of 9 on the season, with 2 draws, and 7 losses. Newcastle averages only 0.7 goals scored/game and concedes 1.5 goals/game, while playing away from home they average 0.75 goals scored/game and concede 1.25 goals/game.
Liverpool v. Cardiff City
Location: Anfield, Liverpool
Liverpool enter this game as ridiculous favorites in this match against a struggling Cardiff side. There are expected to be 3.5+ goals and they are expected to be all Liverpool, with Cardiff not even expected to get on the board.
Liverpool have been rampant this season scoring 1.8 goals scored/game and conceding only 0.33 goals/game. Their home form, has been even better — they’ve maintained their scoring, and have yet to concede. Basically they’ve just as dominant as we projected in Liverpool’s renditions of Darkhorse Chronicles.
Cardiff City played a lovely game last time out, complete with doubling their season’s goal scoring performance. As a result of their 4-2 victory over Fulham, they’ve raised their average to 0.9 goals scored/game while conceding 2.1 goals/game. Their away form has been dreadful scoring only 0.25 goals scored/game and conceding nearly 1.75 goals/game.
Fulham v. AFC Bournemouth
Location: Craven Cottage, London
Bournemouth are favored to win, but there’s not really any level of confidence for any outcome. Current goal projections are at about 3.5.
Fulham come into this match with a paltry 5 points from the 9 games played which puts them firmly into 18th place. They average 1.2 goals scored/game but their real trouble comes in allowing 3 goals conceded/game and their home form is not markedly better, scoring 1.5 goals/game and conceding 2.5 goals/game. If Fulham wants to set the record straight and head towards redemption — Bournemouth has been at their weakest when away from home.
AFC Bournemouth enter this game in 6th-place as they continue to exceed expectations, however, they do come in on the backs of a rather disappointing draw with Southampton. Throughout the season Bournemouth has amassed an average of 1.8 goals scored/game and conceding only 0.89 goals/game, on the road they’ve been averaging 1.5 goals scored/game and conceding 1.75 goals/game.
Watford v. Huddersfield
Location: Vicarage Road
Watford are sizable favorites against this underwhelming Huddersfield field side who haven’t shown ability to compete. Goal projections are expected at about 3.
Watford comes into this match sitting in 7th place after a fantastic run of form to open the season. They are averaging 1.4 goals scored/game and 1.2 goals conceded/game; however, at home they are managing 1.4 goals scored/game and an equal 1.4 goals conceded/game. Though, the concession average at home is vastly inflated by their heavy 4-0 loss to AFC Bournemouth.
Huddersfield has been in terrible form this season and managed only 19th place with 3 points. Huddersfield has encountered horrendous goal scoring rates, shown by managing only 0.4 goals scored/game and had 2 concessions/game. Away from home they’ve scored 1 goal/game and 2.75 concessions/game, which is not a recipe for success. Huddersfield need to put together a good run to stay up this season and this may be as good of an opportunity as they’ll get.
Last Updated: October 24, 2018
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