Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 12) Part 2

Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday, there is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.

Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur

Location: Selhurst Park, London

Spurs come into this match as big favorites over an up and down Palace side. Current goal projections are at right about 3 goals, with a big Tottenham win expected.

Crystal Park ran into a Chelsea team that was featured previously as a potential Darkhorse in the Premier League race, and were soundly beaten. They managed to score one goal (Andros Townsend) but conceded 3 goals. The team didn’t put up a particularly great performance, in general, and the defense perhaps even less so. Crystal Palace has not been good at home, averaging 0.4 goals scored/match and conceding 1.4 goals/match.

Tottenham’s defense really struggled this last week against Wolves, they conceded not one, but two penalties, both of which ended up as goals. Wolves looked like they had a great chance at making this into a match after all. Tottenham had more shots on target, but that’s about the only statistic they lead in, and they also had no reply to any of the second half goals by Wolves. I don’t really see this being too much of an issue against a Crystal Palace side that has been poor, but it could be an Achilles heel coming against sides in better form. Tottenham’s away form has been pretty good scoring 2 goals/game and 0.86 goals conceded/match.


Read moreWeekend Preview on Thursday (Week 12) Part 2

Premier League Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 12) Part 1

Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday, there is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.

Cardiff City v. Brighton & Hove Albion

Location: Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff, Wales

Cardfiff comes into this match as slight favorites, though any outcome doesn’t seem too far out of the realm of possibility. This game is expected to have 2 goals.

Cardiff are coming off a loss to Leicester City in a 1-0 defeat in the first game at Ling Power since the tragic loss of the Leicester City chairman. Etheridge saved Cardiff from a much greater loss (including a shot on target in the 88′ denied by the keeper). Cardiff was lucky to have not played a man down for close to sixty minutes after a missed handball to deny a goal by Sol Bamba — and to top it off they failed to score yet again. Cardiff really need to dig deep and find some goals which will come in short supply against Mat Ryan (despite the 3 goals scored by Everton). They are averaging 1.17 goals scored/game and 2.17 goals conceded/game at home, so this could be a great opportunity for both sides.

Brighton gave up a few goals to Everton in route to a sizable defeat which tied their most goals allowed this season (previously against Manchester United). They were unfortunate to have their win streak come to an end so abruptly, but they have a good opportunity to get back to winning ways here. Cardiff has found it to be an insurmountable task to score goals most games and Brighton has been capable enough at scoring them. Brighton away from home has been averaging 0.67 goals scored/game and 1.67 conceded/game. This means that both sides are expected to ship more goals than scored, so it might be a very interesting game to watch.


Read morePremier League Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 12) Part 1

Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 11) Part 2

Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday, there is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.

Arsenal v. Liverpool

Location: Emirates Stadium

Liverpool are favored to win, although the margin suggests all three outcomes are in play. This one is expected to have at least 3 goals scored.

Arsenal are chasing their 8th straight win under Unai Emery, although this is the hardest match they’ve faced during that stretch. This side has a lot of talent and could be very scary if they continue to realize their potential. Arsenal (home) is averaging 2 goals scored/game and conceding 1 goal/game.

Liverpool have drawn only two games, against Chelsea and Manchester City. Otherwise they’ve only recorded wins so far on the season. Although they were unable to keep a clean sheet (and lost my DFS contest for me) I expect Liverpool to try to create some separation by winning this match. Liverpool (away) is averaging 1.6 goals scored/game and 0.6 goals conceded/game.

Read moreWeekend Preview on Thursday (Week 11) Part 2

Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 11) Part 1

Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday, there is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.

AFC Bournemouth v. Manchester United

Location: Dean Court, Bournemouth

Manchester United are favorites even though they are traveling to Bournemouth. Expected goals is currently at 3, with United winning by 1.

Bournemouth are coming off a 3-0 victory over Fulham, and although Fulham received a 73′ minute red card, though most of the damage had already been done. Bournemouth were ahead 2-0 before the sending off. Bournemouth (home) are averaging 2 goals/game at home and are conceding an 1 goal/game.

Manchester United managed a win over Everton even after Pogba missed a penalty kick after a seemingly endless run up (though he did score on the rebound). Anthony Martial contributed another goal to the cause. Chris Smalling and Nemanja Matic’s performances left something to be desired — both picked up yellow cards and Smalling gave away a penalty to give Everton a glimmer of hope. Manchester United (away) are scoring on average 1.8 goals/game on the road and are conceding the exact same amount (1.8 goals/game).

Read moreWeekend Preview on Thursday (Week 11) Part 1

Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 10) Part 2

Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday, there is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.

Leicester City v. West Ham United

Location: King Power Stadium, Leicester

Leicester are home favorites over a Jekyll and Hyde West Ham side. Goal projections have this one at under 3.

Leicester City hold a solid mid-table position in 11th-place. They’ve been scoring at a reasonable rate — 1.7 goals scored/game while conceding at the same rate, 1.7 concessions/game. They’ve been a little better at home scoring 1.75 goals/game while allowing 1.25 concessions/game.

West Ham United have made a reasonable recovery to lay claim to 14th-place despite a rather pedestrian start to the season. Across the season they’ve managed 0.9 goals scored/game while allowing 1.33 concessions/game. At home they’ve not been markedly better scoring 1 goal/game and conceding 2.25 goals/game.

Read moreWeekend Preview on Thursday (Week 10) Part 2

Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 10) Part 1

Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday, there is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.

Brighton & Hove Albion v. Wolverhampton Wanderers

Location: Amex Stadium, Brighton

Wolves come into this match as slight favorites. This match expected is to be around 3 goals, and although Wolves are the favorite on paper — there’s relatively little confidence in any particular outcome.

Brighton come into this game on a 2-match win streak that has shown their best form all season. They currently reside in 11th-place and have actually scored more goals, but have conceded several more as well. The seagulls are averaging 1.1 goals scored/game and are giving up 1.4 conceded/game, however, at home they jump to 1.75 goals scored/game and 1.5 conceded/game.

Wolves come in to this match having won 4 of their last six matches which has moved them up into the top-half of the table and into 9th position. Wolves have only lost one of the last 6 to high-flying Watford and have only lost one other match all season (Leicester). Wolves are averaging 1 goal scored/game while conceding 0.9 goals/game — however, on the road,  the goals scored drops to 0.75 goals scored/game and 0.75 goals conceded. 

Read moreWeekend Preview on Thursday (Week 10) Part 1