Champions & Relegation Watch – Premier League – Version 2

Note: This is the second version of our Premier League Champions and Relegation Watch this season (check out the first version here). Through the first half of the season, we’ll update this report every other month or so, or when there is a break from league play.

We have reached another international break, so instead of publishing updated Power Rankings in the Premier League, we figured it was time to see how the league table is currently shaking out and take a look at who is in position to qualify for European competition next year, as well as who might be heading down to the Championship after the season.

As a reminder, the top four clubs in the Premier League qualify for the Group Stage of Champions League, while the fifth place team does the same in Europa League. These competitions are great for worldwide exposure – not to mention the prize money – but it’s also for bragging rights across Europe. No English club has won the Champions League since Chelsea did so back in 2012, though we are only two seasons removed from Manchester City claiming the last English Europa League title.

League placement is important for clubs beyond the top five as well. Last season, due to cup winners qualifying for continental competition based on league position, England’s final two Europa League spots went to the next highest finishers in the league, with Arsenal (6th place) and Burnley (7th) making it into the tournament.

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Premier League Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 12) Part 1

Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday, there is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.

Cardiff City v. Brighton & Hove Albion

Location: Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff, Wales

Cardfiff comes into this match as slight favorites, though any outcome doesn’t seem too far out of the realm of possibility. This game is expected to have 2 goals.

Cardiff are coming off a loss to Leicester City in a 1-0 defeat in the first game at Ling Power since the tragic loss of the Leicester City chairman. Etheridge saved Cardiff from a much greater loss (including a shot on target in the 88′ denied by the keeper). Cardiff was lucky to have not played a man down for close to sixty minutes after a missed handball to deny a goal by Sol Bamba — and to top it off they failed to score yet again. Cardiff really need to dig deep and find some goals which will come in short supply against Mat Ryan (despite the 3 goals scored by Everton). They are averaging 1.17 goals scored/game and 2.17 goals conceded/game at home, so this could be a great opportunity for both sides.

Brighton gave up a few goals to Everton in route to a sizable defeat which tied their most goals allowed this season (previously against Manchester United). They were unfortunate to have their win streak come to an end so abruptly, but they have a good opportunity to get back to winning ways here. Cardiff has found it to be an insurmountable task to score goals most games and Brighton has been capable enough at scoring them. Brighton away from home has been averaging 0.67 goals scored/game and 1.67 conceded/game. This means that both sides are expected to ship more goals than scored, so it might be a very interesting game to watch.


Read morePremier League Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 12) Part 1

(UPDATED) Premier League – Week 11 Slate

The schedule makers could take a page out of the NFL’s book and rearrange this week’s schedule just a bit. One of the better matches this week kicks everything off – and it’s a matchup between the teams of the authors on this site (Go Cherries!) – but it’s at 5:30am local time for us! Meanwhile, a match between two clubs in the relegation zone closes everything out on Monday. If the plan is to sell English football to America with matchups like Huddersfield and Fulham, I don’t think it’s going to work. It’s like the NFL sending the Raiders and Browns to London to sell American football to the Brits.

Nevertheless, this week should be one that helps clear up the muddled middle of the league table, while also allowing the top teams to separate themselves further. As always, the number in parenthesis before each club reflects their spot on our weekly Power Rankings, and we’ll try to keep this list updated as the weekend progresses.  Home teams are listed first, and winners will be indicated in bold. In the event of a draw, both teams will be placed in italics.

Saturday, 3 November 2018
12:30pm GMT/8:30am EST
(7) AFC Bournemouth 1-2 (9) Manchester United
3:00pm GMT/11:00am EST
(15) Cardiff City 0-1 (12) Leicester City
(10) Everton 3-1 (8) Brighton & Hove Albion
(19) Newcastle United 1-0 (5) Watford
(13) West Ham United 4-2 (14) Burnley
5:30pm GMT/1:30pm EST
(4) Arsenal 1-1 (2) Liverpool   **MATCH OF THE WEEK**
7:45pm GMT/3:45pm EST
(11) Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-3 (6) Tottenham Hotspur

Read more(UPDATED) Premier League – Week 11 Slate

Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 11) Part 1

Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday, there is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.

AFC Bournemouth v. Manchester United

Location: Dean Court, Bournemouth

Manchester United are favorites even though they are traveling to Bournemouth. Expected goals is currently at 3, with United winning by 1.

Bournemouth are coming off a 3-0 victory over Fulham, and although Fulham received a 73′ minute red card, though most of the damage had already been done. Bournemouth were ahead 2-0 before the sending off. Bournemouth (home) are averaging 2 goals/game at home and are conceding an 1 goal/game.

Manchester United managed a win over Everton even after Pogba missed a penalty kick after a seemingly endless run up (though he did score on the rebound). Anthony Martial contributed another goal to the cause. Chris Smalling and Nemanja Matic’s performances left something to be desired — both picked up yellow cards and Smalling gave away a penalty to give Everton a glimmer of hope. Manchester United (away) are scoring on average 1.8 goals/game on the road and are conceding the exact same amount (1.8 goals/game).

Read moreWeekend Preview on Thursday (Week 11) Part 1

Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 10) Part 1

Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday, there is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.

Brighton & Hove Albion v. Wolverhampton Wanderers

Location: Amex Stadium, Brighton

Wolves come into this match as slight favorites. This match expected is to be around 3 goals, and although Wolves are the favorite on paper — there’s relatively little confidence in any particular outcome.

Brighton come into this game on a 2-match win streak that has shown their best form all season. They currently reside in 11th-place and have actually scored more goals, but have conceded several more as well. The seagulls are averaging 1.1 goals scored/game and are giving up 1.4 conceded/game, however, at home they jump to 1.75 goals scored/game and 1.5 conceded/game.

Wolves come in to this match having won 4 of their last six matches which has moved them up into the top-half of the table and into 9th position. Wolves have only lost one of the last 6 to high-flying Watford and have only lost one other match all season (Leicester). Wolves are averaging 1 goal scored/game while conceding 0.9 goals/game — however, on the road,  the goals scored drops to 0.75 goals scored/game and 0.75 goals conceded. 

Read moreWeekend Preview on Thursday (Week 10) Part 1

Champions & Relegation Watch – Premier League – Version 1

Note: This is the first version of our Premier League Championship and Relegation Watch this season. Through the first half of the season, we’ll update this report every other month or so, or when there is a break from league play.

With the break from league play this week, we’ve decided to take a look at where the clubs in the Premier League stand a little more than 20% into the season. Since the Premier League is the top division in English football, teams aren’t fighting for promotion to the next league. However, they are competing for spots in the continental competitions – Champions League and Europa League – and bragging rights.

The top four clubs qualify directly for the Group Stage of Champions League. The fifth place club qualifies for the Group Stage of Europa League. The Premier League’s other two spots in Europa go to the winners of the FA Cup and EFL Cup, but last year, due to those cup winners (Chelsea and Manchester City, respectively) qualifying for Champions League through their league placement, the 6th and 7th place teams qualified for Europa instead.

The top of the league table currently looks like this:Premier League Champion 20181010

Read moreChampions & Relegation Watch – Premier League – Version 1