Premier League – Week 20 Power Rankings

Our Power Rankings updated after matches played in the New Year results in a return to the top for our former long-term top club. But for the most part, the clubs of the Premier League remain stratified in their tier structure, with the Top 6 clear of the 7th place club by at least seven points, and the last club of the”muddled middle” four points ahead of the bottom six.

As always, these results try to reflect the week-to-week results, and only account for matches played in the Premier League. Most of the clubs are fairly closely aligned with their league table position, but losses to lower-ranked clubs – or wins against the higher-ranked ones – can move them dramatically out of position.

Note: Records presented as W-D-L
Results as of matches played through 3 January 2019

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Premier League – Week 18 Power Rankings

In a week that saw two of the top five clubs lose, our Power Rankings didn’t shift that much, with Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur maintaining the top spot. This week, the clubs will officially reach the half-way point of the season, with traditional Boxing Day matches scheduled for the majority of the league today – Southampton and West Ham United close out midweek action tomorrow night. Will two matches lead to some strange results this weekend?

As always, these rankings reflect performance in Premier League matches only, and are more about the week-to-week trends instead of the whole season picture. A club is rewarded more for victories against teams there weren’t expected to defeat and vice versa, with draws treated fairly neutral unless there is a massive ranking disparity.

Note: Records presented as W-D-L
Results as of matches played through 23 December 2018

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Premier League – Week 17 Power Rankings

After a Week 16 that went mostly as expected, we are one match away from the midpoint of the Premier League season. The league – along with our Power Rankings – have stratified into three distinct tiers (more on this below the table) and any move in our rankings only occurs within those tiers.

As always, these rankings reflect performance in Premier League matches only, and are more about the week-to-week trends instead of the whole season picture. A club is rewarded more for victories against teams there weren’t expected to defeat and vice versa, with draws treated fairly neutral unless there is a massive ranking disparity.

Note: Records presented as W-D-L
Results as of matches played through 16 December 2018

Read morePremier League – Week 17 Power Rankings

Premier League Tuesday – Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace

Premier League Tuesday – BHA & Crystal Palace

This BHA and Crystal Palace game is expected to be far and away the most competitive matchup of the day. It’s also one between two teams would desperately like to start building up some points before the midway point of the season. They’d both love to go into the New Year with themselves in a good place in the table! It’s also a matchup between #9 and #15 in our Week 15 power rankings!

Brighton and Hove Albion (BHA)

Brighton come into this match in very reasonable form. In their last 6 games they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and two losses. Brighton have the 7th best home form in the table, though they’ve left a fair number of points on the board in road games. Although they have 6 losses on the season, 3 of them are to big six teams. They also added a memorable win over a Manchester United team that’s been poor. Brighton would love to take this opportunity to leapfrog Watford. While the Seagulls come in with a very winnable game, Watford faces Manchester City. Depending on other results tomorrow, Brighton could go as high as eighth but their goal differential would have to improve immensely.

In terms of the statistics, Brighton is markedly better at home than away. Brighton has managed a goal in every home game they’ve played as well as the last seven straight. At home the Seagulls are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game while conceding 1.17 goals per game. They’ve allowed a total of 7 goals against at home this season; 3 allowed in the first half and 4 in the second half. While their goal scoring is the opposite; 5 goals in the first half and 4 in the second.

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Weekend Preview on Thursday (#WPOT) Week 13, Part 2

Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday. There is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.

Weekend Preview on Thursday (#WPOT) Week 13, Part 2


Manchester United v. Crystal Palace

Location: Old Trafford, Manchester

Manchester United are surefire home-favorites over Crystal Palace. As a result, 3 Goals are expected at this time, and all three are supposed to go United’s way.

Manchester United’s lone defeat at home came from Tottenham, who won 3-0. Aside from the draw against Wolves, they’ve won the other 3 games. However, I know that United has been poor this season, but I don’t see any reason they can’t make it 4 wins at home. Even including the 3-0 home defeat to Tottenham, United are still even with goals scored and conceded at home. They are both 1.6 goals per game (scored and allowed), but I think the allowed are inflated. I think that United has the quality to win this match.

Crystal Palace has only managed to get 6 points from 6 away matches. They have 4 losses and 2 draws and they have conceded 3 more goals than they have scored. Palace has, on average, scored 0.9 goals per game away from home and conceded 1.5 goals per game. Neither of these things look great given that United’s defense has been poor, their offense hasn’t struggled to the same extent. David de Gea has also failed to maintain a clean sheet at home and this might be his first real opportunity.

Read moreWeekend Preview on Thursday (#WPOT) Week 13, Part 2

Weekend Preview on Thursday (Week 12) Part 2

Disclaimer: This series is examining the games days prior to matchday, there is always the possibility for injuries, coach selections, etc. They may be updated to reflect most accurate starting lineup.

Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur

Location: Selhurst Park, London

Spurs come into this match as big favorites over an up and down Palace side. Current goal projections are at right about 3 goals, with a big Tottenham win expected.

Crystal Park ran into a Chelsea team that was featured previously as a potential Darkhorse in the Premier League race, and were soundly beaten. They managed to score one goal (Andros Townsend) but conceded 3 goals. The team didn’t put up a particularly great performance, in general, and the defense perhaps even less so. Crystal Palace has not been good at home, averaging 0.4 goals scored/match and conceding 1.4 goals/match.

Tottenham’s defense really struggled this last week against Wolves, they conceded not one, but two penalties, both of which ended up as goals. Wolves looked like they had a great chance at making this into a match after all. Tottenham had more shots on target, but that’s about the only statistic they lead in, and they also had no reply to any of the second half goals by Wolves. I don’t really see this being too much of an issue against a Crystal Palace side that has been poor, but it could be an Achilles heel coming against sides in better form. Tottenham’s away form has been pretty good scoring 2 goals/game and 0.86 goals conceded/match.


Read moreWeekend Preview on Thursday (Week 12) Part 2